Official Bitcoin Cycle Projection for 2025

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Market Overview

The purpose of this week’s newsletter is very simple:

1. Tell you where we are in the market cycle.

2. What you should expect: pullback, consolidation, or continuation.

   • In other words: $85k, $90k, or $100k?

3. Cycle top price range.

and…

Probably the thing you all care about most (although you shouldn’t):

4. When will altseason start.

NOW….

Depending on where you get your sources, you would either be thinking Bitcoin is way too overbought and due for a pullback…

…Or you might be thinking we’re just on our way to $250k or $300k.

THE TRUTH

You do NOT consolidate for 33 weeks only to have a short-lived 2-week rally in price. That’s just not possible.

So even if we DO get a pullback, it WILL be bought up and YOU should buy it up too (if you have any more cash laying around).

Because there is a lot more positive price action to come.

Yes, metrics are showing Bitcoin is overbought, but that doesn’t mean much.

All the long-term valuation metrics suggest Bitcoin is no where near the top.

THE TRUTH 2.0

Regarding $200k or $250k or $300k… all are certainly possible but they require a CATALYST, which is unlikely to come THIS CYCLE.

The catalyst in the 2020 bull market was the government injecting trillions of dollars of liquidity into the economy as an emergency response to COVID.

Which we don’t have now.

While liquidity is projected to rise, the projections are being revised downwards and in either case it wouldn’t be enough to propel price to $300k.

The main catalyst that could propel Bitcoin to these levels is if a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the US was officially put into place and other countries rushed to follow.

Trump said it would happen so it will happen. But it’s a matter of when and it is unlikely to be now.

SO… WHAT WILL BE THIS CYCLE’S TOP?

You should always be thinking in ranges and probabilities, not a random isolated number.

The range for the cycle top for this phase in the bull market is anywhere between….

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The range for the cycle top for this phase in the bull market is anywhere between….

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