Bitcoin's Bottom Is In?

Plus Important Information on SOL unlocks

Author

Alpha 12 Team
February 21, 2025

In partnership with

Market Overview

Today’s newsletter is a short RAPID FIRE ONE đź”Ą 

Let’s go:

  • Bitcoin has bottomed for now.

It’s heading well into $100k.

Maybe even $105k.

But the market is still ranging so it will drop after that back to its current range.

  • SOL has likely bottomed.

It’s been selling off because of front-running the SOL unlocks happening on March 1st.

So there won’t be any sell-off on March 1st because it already happened.

Of course this is a qualitative view.

Price needs to reclaim $200 to confirm that view.

  • The US dollar has had a confirmed top and is now in a negative trend.

This doesn’t mean it can’t have a short upside recovery.

It likely will.

But this is net positive for global liquidity and is the reason why stocks are rallying.

Bitcoin tends to follow the trend after a couple of months.

  • Global M2 is finally going up again.

And going up strong.

This is extremely important because the top in M2 marked the top in Bitcoin.

There is a 77-day lag between M2 and Bitcoin.

Our analysis shows there are 43 days left to go until Bitcoin bottoms for sure and exits its consolidation range.

That puts it around April 6, 2025.

  • Altseason is coming but not in the way you expect.

Only a select number of coins will go up.

Best to just focus on Bitcoin, study it deeply, and be able to trade it with high confidence and get a better risk/reward than buying and holding a memecoin.

Take this trade for example:

A 500% return on a Bitcoin trade using a small portion of the capital that you would have otherwise gambled on a memecoin.

This is not a promotion of 45x leverage. An infinitesimally small percentage of the portfolio was allocated to this.

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